Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.595910e-05 0.000079 0.000093 0.000109 0.000127 0.000146 0.000168
2025-03-30 4.942463e-05 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000136 0.000167 0.000205
2025-04-06 3.898470e-05 0.000056 0.000078 0.000105 0.000138 0.000178 0.000227
2025-04-13 3.229600e-05 0.000051 0.000074 0.000105 0.000145 0.000193 0.000254
2025-04-20 2.537982e-05 0.000043 0.000067 0.000100 0.000144 0.000198 0.000268
2025-04-27 2.129500e-05 0.000039 0.000064 0.000100 0.000148 0.000210 0.000291
2025-05-04 1.808865e-05 0.000036 0.000061 0.000100 0.000153 0.000221 0.000313
2025-05-11 1.608745e-05 0.000034 0.000061 0.000102 0.000160 0.000236 0.000340
2025-05-18 1.409273e-05 0.000032 0.000060 0.000103 0.000166 0.000250 0.000365
2025-05-25 1.131805e-05 0.000028 0.000055 0.000100 0.000165 0.000253 0.000376
2025-06-01 9.187811e-06 0.000025 0.000052 0.000097 0.000165 0.000258 0.000390
2025-06-08 7.706447e-06 0.000022 0.000049 0.000096 0.000167 0.000265 0.000407
2025-06-15 6.418102e-06 0.000021 0.000048 0.000096 0.000172 0.000279 0.000434
2025-06-22 5.126464e-06 0.000019 0.000046 0.000095 0.000175 0.000289 0.000457
2025-06-29 3.899737e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000093 0.000175 0.000295 0.000474
2025-07-06 3.173746e-06 0.000015 0.000041 0.000093 0.000179 0.000307 0.000500
2025-07-13 2.223938e-06 0.000012 0.000037 0.000088 0.000176 0.000308 0.000509
2025-07-20 1.738404e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000088 0.000179 0.000319 0.000532
2025-07-27 1.359014e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000088 0.000183 0.000329 0.000556
2025-08-03 1.152392e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000090 0.000190 0.000346 0.000589
2025-08-10 9.316773e-07 0.000009 0.000034 0.000091 0.000196 0.000360 0.000618
2025-08-17 6.099592e-07 0.000008 0.000031 0.000088 0.000193 0.000362 0.000629
2025-08-24 3.961385e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000085 0.000192 0.000365 0.000643